I don’t believe I have the ability to say what is going to work.Rather, I try to eliminate what’s not going to work.I think being successful is just about not making mistakes.It’s not about having correct judgment.It’s about avoiding incorrect judgments.I was really into complexity theory back in the mid-90s.The more I got into it, the more I understood the limits of our knowledge and the limits of our prediction capability.Complexity has been super helpful to me.It has helped me come to a system that operates in the face of ignorance.I believe we are fundamentally ignorant and very, very bad at predicting the future.